Comfortably Numb
Monday, May 08, 2006
  How Fast Will Lance Go?

In case you haven't heard, Lance Armstrong is running the New York Marathon on November 5th. How fast do you think he'll go? I am taking bets. The winner will get a yet-to-be-announced prize (probably the lamest bday present I get this year!).

My wager = 2:39:59.


Leave me a comment or shoot a mail (ravisraman@gmail.com) with your guess. This is Price Is Right style, closest without going over wins. I'll publish the wagers in future posts as they come in.

Remember, Lance has won 7 Tour De France's and use to be a top triathlete. If he really wanted to, I am sure he could throw down a 2:20-something, even on his first marathon, but I don't see him going all out in his first race. I think the upper bound for Lance will be a 3:45; which is what his ex-wife ran at NYC in 2004. You better beleive he's coming in under that!
 
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After putting together some complex models that take into account Lance's VO2 max, muscle atrophy and rate of salt lost to sweat...

Cam says 2:40:00 on the button
Roanne says 2:25:22
 
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